About time series analysis
This is an article about time series analysis.
hello!
Today we will learn about time series analysis.
Time series analysis is a statistical technique that understands and predicts the patterns and structures of data measured at regular time intervals.
It is mainly used in various fields such as economy, finance, weather, and stock prices.
We will discuss time series analysis in more detail below.
Main concepts
Time Series Data
Data measured at regular intervals of time, which may be daily, monthly, quarterly, or yearly. For example, stock price, sales, temperature, exchange rate, etc.
Time Series Model
It is a model that explains and predicts the patterns and structures of time series data, taking into account trends, seasonality, cycles, and random factors.
Stationarity
It is one of the characteristics of time series data, meaning that statistical characteristics do not change over time.
Main Techniques
Time Series Decomposition
This is a method of decomposing time series data into trend, seasonality, cycle, and random factors and analyzing each component.
Autocorrelation Function (ACF) and Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF)
It is used to identify time series models by analyzing the autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation of time series data.
ARIMA model (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average Model)
It is a method of modeling time series data that considers trends, seasonality, autocorrelation, non-stationarity, etc., and is widely used for forecasting.
uses
prediction
It is used for decision-making by predicting future values.
Trend analysis
Identify trends by analyzing trends and cycles in time series data.
Anomaly detection
Used to detect and prevent outliers.
Statistical software
You can apply various time series analysis techniques using statistical software such as R, Python, SAS, and SPSS.
Conclusion
Time series analysis is an important statistical technique for understanding and predicting data patterns over time, and is actively used in a variety of fields.
thank you!